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AFP
May 30, 2020

India quarterly growth worst in two decades

Business

AFP
May 30, 2020

Mumbai: India´s economy grew at its slowest pace in at least two decades last quarter, government data showed Friday, with warnings of far worse to come as it grapples with the fallout of the world´s largest coronavirus lockdown.

Asia´s third-largest economy expanded by just 3.1 percent in the January-March period, which coincided with the first week of a months-long shutdown.

Annual growth was 4.2 percent, its slowest pace since the 2008 global financial crisis.

But the quarterly figures beat gloomy forecasts, with Bloomberg News predicting growth would slow to just 1.6 percent.

The finance ministry said in a press release that the estimates were "likely to undergo revision" due to a lack of available data following the lockdown.

But the current quarter is expected to reflect a severe contraction as manufacturing, services and consumption came to a grinding halt.

The lockdown is widely expected to plunge the country into recession, with Goldman Sachs predicting a 45 percent contraction in the April-June quarter from the previous year.

The central bank has also warned of a downturn and slashed rates to spur lending.

Even before Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a shutdown in late March, the economy was struggling to gain traction with sluggish growth, record unemployment and a flurry of bad loans making banks reluctant to lend.

Earlier this month Modi announced a $266 billion package -- 10 percent of the country´s GDP -- to revive the battered economy.