close
Thursday April 25, 2024

Climate change to hit coffee lovers hard

By Agencies
September 12, 2017

Researchers have estimated that climate change could reduce coffee growing areas in Latin America -- the world's largest coffee-producing region -- by as much as 88 per cent by 2050.

The study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) offers climate change's projected impacts on coffee, and the bees that help coffee to grow.

"Coffee is one of the most valuable commodities on earth, and needs a suitable climate and pollinating bees to produce well," said study co-author Taylor Ricketts, Professor at University of Vermont in the US.

"This is the first study to show how both will likely change under global warming - in ways that will hit coffee producers hard," Ricketts said.

The study was conducted with advanced modelling, spatial analysis and field data.

It forecasts much greater losses of coffee regions than previous global assessments, with the largest declines projected in Nicaragua, Honduras and Venezuela.

"Coffee provides the main income for millions of the rural poor, so yield declines would affect the livelihoods of those already vulnerable people," Ricketts said.

The scientists projected a slight increase in coffee suitability in Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia and Costa Rica, mainly in mountainous areas where temperatures are expectedto support coffee growing and more robust bee populations.