Nepal to vote in first election since Gen Z-led protests ousted government

Nepal is heading to a general election on Thursday, March 5, after the first youth-led protests last September demanding an end to corruption, ‌more jobs and cleaner politics led to the deaths of 77 people and forced the government to resign.

A new hope:

For decades, the small Himalayan nation ensconced between China and India has been riven by political instability, with 32 changes in government since 1990, leaving its largely agrarian economy hamstrung and forcing millions to seek work abroad.

Nearly 19 million of Nepal's 30 million people are eligible to vote to pick a 275-member legislature, of which 165 candidates are directly elected and 110 selected via proportional representation.

About one million of these voters—most of them youth—were added after last year's protests, which have amplified calls for overhauling Nepal's political system and reforming the economy to create formal jobs with better wages.

Bibas Pariyar, a 22-year-old painter employed in Kathmandu, said, "We need new people who can give work to people, reform agriculture and pay adequate remuneration for workers."

"The old politicians only amassed money for themselves through corruption and did nothing for the people."

Old guard vs new frontrunner:

In the race are ‌the old guard, including the centrist Nepali Congress (NC) and the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist or UML), which have dominated national politics for decades.

But most analysts say the centrist Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) is at the forefront. Rapper-turned-politician Balendra Shah, 35 years old, joined the three-year-old party in January as its prime ministerial candidate.

A former mayor of the capital city Kathmandu who emerged as the face of September protests, Shah is going head-to-head against the UML's K.P. Sharma Oli, 74, a four-time premier who quit following the September killings of the demonstrators.

Nepal's election will be the second in the region—following Bangladesh—to be triggered by Gen Z-led protests, but the dynamics are markedly different, said Jay Nishaant, founder of the Nepal Democracy Foundation think tank.

In Bangladesh's February general election, the main youth-driven party won only six seats in the 300-member parliament, underlining the challenge of turning street momentum into votes.

"For any election, three things decide the outcome: agenda, leadership, and organization," Nishaant said.

"That's where Nepal may diverge from Bangladesh. Bangladesh's July 2024 student leaders had a clear agenda and recognizable faces, but not a time-tested grassroots machine."