News Analysis: The 87-hour war: $1 billion an hour

India also deployed unmanned aerial systems between May 7 and May 10 to probe and identify Pakistan’s air defence architecture

By Dr Farrukh Saleem
May 11, 2025
Pakistans F16 in air on Pakistan day March 23, 2018. —TheNews
Pakistan's F16 in air on Pakistan day March 23, 2018. —TheNews

AT precisely 1:05am on May 7, the Indian Air Force (IAF) initiated Operation Sindoor — a 23-minute strike targeting nine civilian locations inside Pakistan. The IAF’s primary strike platform was the Dassault Rafale fighter jet, equipped with SCALP EG (Storm Shadow) air-launched cruise missiles, capable of striking targets over a range of approximately 550 kilometres, and AASM Hammer precision-guided glide bombs.

India also deployed unmanned aerial systems between May 7 and May 10 to probe and identify Pakistan’s air defence architecture. These included the Indo-Israeli SkyStriker loitering munitions and the Israeli-made Harop drones -- both used not only for targeting but also to trigger and map out radar and surface-to-air missile responses, in an attempt to expose gaps and vulnerabilities in Pakistan’s integrated air defence network.

From May 7 to May 10, Pakistan launched a comprehensive military response to India’s Operation Sindoor, engaging its air force, army, and missile units. The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) deployed the Chengdu J-10C as its primary multirole fighter, equipped with PL-15 beyond-visual-range air-to-air missiles (BVRAAMs) and supported by KORAL electronic countermeasures (ECM) systems for enhanced electronic warfare capabilities.

Between 1:05am and 1:30am on May 7, the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) achieved a historic milestone in modern aerial warfare. In a global first, the PAF successfully engaged and destroyed three French-built Dassault Rafale 4.5-generation multirole fighters, marking the platform’s first confirmed combat losses. Pakistan also claimed to have downed 12 Indian drones using a combination of electronic countermeasures (ECM), anti-aircraft artillery (AAA) and short-range surface-to-air missiles.

Between May 7 and May 10, spanning 87 hours and 25 minutes, India’s NIFTY 50 and BSE Sensex, the country’s flagship stock market indices, lost a combined $82 billion in market capitalization. Airspace closures in northern India resulted in commercial aviation losses of about $8 million per day. The suspension of the Indian Premier League (IPL) led to losses of $50 million from television rights, ticket sales, and advertising. Military operations cost an estimated $100 million, while the loss of jets amounted to $400 million. Trade disruptions, including delayed cargo and logistics, caused $2 billion in losses, alongside unquantified impacts from diminished investor confidence and foreign direct investment (FDI). The total cost of the conflict to India is estimated at approximately $83 billion. Between May 7 and May 10, spanning approximately 87 hours and 25 minutes, Pakistan’s KSE-100 index fell 4.1 per cent, losing roughly $2.5 billion in market capitalisation. The suspension of the Pakistan Super League (PSL) resulted in $10 million in losses from broadcasting and related revenue. Airspace closures caused commercial aviation losses of approximately $20 million.

Military operations cost an estimated $25 million per day. Drone and missile operations, involving Bayraktar TB2s and Ra’ad air-launched cruise missiles (ALCMs), amounted to $300 million. The loss of investor confidence FDI had a moderate chilling effect, though unquantified. The total cost of the conflict to Pakistan is estimated at approximately $4 billion.

The 87-hour war was not just fought in the skies—it ripped through stock markets, grounded economies, and shattered illusions of invincibility. At a staggering cost of $1 billion per hour, it exposed the fragility beneath imaginary superpower hubris. At a staggering cost of $1 billion per hour, the war proved that in modern warfare the true price is measured not just in fighter jets, missiles and drones -- but in stock markets, currency devaluation, disrupted supply chains, commercial aviation losses and fleeing foreign investment.