Could Trump run for third term? Legal and political obstacles stand in way

President Donald Trump has sparked debate over a potential third term, but legal barriers and historical precedent suggest it would be an uphill battle, AFP reported.

Trump, 78, told NBC News on Sunday that he was "not joking" about another term and alluded to “methods” that could make it feasible. However, constitutional scholars overwhelmingly disagree. Amending the law to allow a third term would require a level of political agreement that has rarely been seen in US history.

Presidential limits through history

George Washington voluntarily stepped down after two terms, setting a precedent followed by most presidents. The only exception is Franklin D. Roosevelt, who was elected four times but passed away early in his fourth term in 1945.

While other leaders like Ulysses S. Grant and Theodore Roosevelt attempted third-term bids, they did not succeed. Trump joins Grover Cleveland as the only president to serve nonconsecutive terms, having won in 2016, lost in 2020, and reclaimed the White House in 2024.

The 22nd amendment: A roadblock

Following Roosevelt’s unprecedented four terms, the 22nd Amendment was introduced in 1947 and ratified in 1951, stating that "no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice." It also prevents anyone who has served more than two years of another president’s term from being elected more than once.

Furthermore, the 12th Amendment suggests Trump could not serve as vice president and later ascend to the presidency.

A legal loophole?

While Trump has often joked about serving beyond two terms, his latest comments were more specific. When asked about a potential scenario where JD Vance could run in 2028 and later step aside, Trump acknowledged it as a possibility but hinted at other options.

A resolution introduced by Republican Representative Andy Ogles aims to permit a third term for presidents who served nonconsecutively, but its success is highly doubtful.

Despite these roadblocks, Trump’s 2028 election odds have improved. According to offshore bookmaker BetOnline.ag, his chances have risen from 10-to-1 to 6-to-1, making him the second most likely contender after JD Vance.