The Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) is leading against the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf in pre-survey polls conducted for the by-elections.
A sample of around 800 people from each constituency of NA-122 Lahore , NA-125 Lahore, and NA-154 Lodhran, was asked who they would vote for in their constituency. The polls were conducted in September and then again in October.
NA-122
According to the
ByOCTOPUS
October 09, 2015
The Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) is leading against the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf in pre-survey polls conducted for the by-elections.
A sample of around 800 people from each constituency of NA-122 Lahore , NA-125 Lahore, and NA-154 Lodhran, was asked who they would vote for in their constituency. The polls were conducted in September and then again in October.
NA-122
According to the poll conducted by Gallup Pakistan in NA-122 in September, out of the sample who was surveyed, 36% favoured PTI, while 51% favoured PML-N.
When Gallup conducted the poll in October, 37% favoured PTI, while 46% favoured the PML-N.
Meanwhile, according to the poll conducted by Pulse Consultant in September, 36% favoured PTI, while 57% favoured the PML-N.
Pulse Consultant’s October poll showed that 42% favoured PTI, while 52% favoured PML-N.
The results above prove that although the PTI managed to increase its popularity within a month, but it failed to beat out the majority of PML-N voter base.
NA-125
According to the poll conducted by Gallup Pakistan in NA-125 in September, out of the sample who was surveyed, 30% favoured PTI, while 56% favoured PML-N.
When Gallup conducted the poll in October, 29% favoured PTI, while 58% favoured the PML-N.
Meanwhile, according to the poll conducted by Pulse Consultant in September, 34% favoured PTI, while 57% favoured the PML-N.
Pulse Consultant’s October poll showed that 34% favoured PTI, while 58% favoured PML-N.
The results above for NA-125 also show that PML-N is leading in this constituency as well with numbers rising for the party in October.
NA-154
According to the poll conducted by Gallup Pakistan in NA-154 in September, out of the sample who was surveyed, 42% favoured PTI, while 36% favoured PML-N.
When Gallup conducted the poll in October, 28% favoured PTI, while 50% favoured the PML-N.
Meanwhile, according to the poll conducted by Pulse Consultant in September, 42% favoured PTI, while 42% favoured the PML-N.
Pulse Consultant’s October poll showed that 38% favoured PTI, while 50% favoured PML-N.
According to the results above, although the competition between the two parties seemed leveled in September, however, results for October indicate that clearly PML-N is leading again.
Disclaimer: Such surveys do not reflect the actual results of the elections and only present an overview of public opinion.
Gallup Pakistan conducted its survey during Sep 23 to Oct 7, 2015 at 55 locations with an 800 sample size in each constituency having 95% confidence level and +/- 3-5 % margin of error in the data.
Gallup Pakistan is one of the renowned survey companies in Pakistan having rich experience in opinion polling lead by Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani.
Pulse Consultant conducted its survey during Sep 29 to Oct 5, 2015 at 80 locations with an 800 sample size in each constituency having 95% confidence level and +/- 3.4 % margin of error in the data.
Pulse Consultant is one of the fastest growing research agencies in Pakistan having renowned local and MNC clients, lead by Mr. Kashif Hafiz.
Geo News presents such surveys time and again on a national level and no one should make these surveys a basis for casting votes.
