Can GDI overtake SDGs?

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) represented a quantum leap from their predecessor, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).They wove together environmental sustainability with poverty eradication, connected human rights with economic growth and promised to leave no one behind.

By Raza Hussain Qazi
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August 18, 2025

GOVERNANCE

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) represented a quantum leap from their predecessor, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).They wove together environmental sustainability with poverty eradication, connected human rights with economic growth and promised to leave no one behind.

Yet today, these noble aspirations are crumbling under the weight of structural flaws. The so-called developed world (Global North) has consistently failed to meet its financial commitments, delivering less than half of the promised 0.7 per cent GDP in aid. This $2.5 trillion annual shortfall has left critical projects in education, healthcare and climate adaptation starved of funding across Africa, South Asia and Latin America.

When crises hit, the existing international system – UN and multilateral -- often exacerbates the problems. Countries like Pakistan, Srilanka and Zambia find themselves trapped in a vicious cycle: when they are compelled to seek IMF assistance to stabilise their economies, they're forced to implement brutal austerity measures that gut most critical life line social spending, directly impacting the poor, ultimately undermining SDG progress. Meanwhile, Western aid grants frequently come laden with political conditions about governance reforms and human rights standards that slow implementation to a crawl.

For all these reasons, for the developing and the under-developed, the road ahead appears increasingly treacherous. As protracted conflicts and escalating climate disasters dominate the global agenda, meaningful progress on the SDGs risks being pushed to the periphery.

Compounding these challenges is a growing ideological resistance to multilateral cooperation, with the very concept of UN-centred global governance facing unprecedented scepticism across the political spectrum. While ongoing reform efforts like the UN secretary-general's UN80 initiative offer glimmers of hope, they simultaneously divert scarce resources and political capital from immediate implementation needs. This confluence of challenges paints a sobering picture for the future of international development cooperation.

Enter China's Global Development Initiative (GDI), a pragmatic alternative that speaks the language of action rather than aspiration. Launched in 2021, this initiative has already demonstrated its value proposition through concrete achievements. Where the SDGs drown in bureaucratic processes and multilateral negotiations, the GDI operates with striking efficiency through bilateral deals. Consider Pakistan's energy crisis: while World Bank-funded projects languished in planning stages, China's CPEC initiative added 10,000MW of electricity capacity in just five years through direct infrastructure investments.

The GDI's appeal lies in its foundational principles. First, it focuses on what developing nations need most: physical infrastructure. The carriageways, roads, ports and power plants -- in our context mostly coal powered, may lack the moral urgency of SDG targets like gender equality, but they create the foundation for economic takeoff. Second, it offers financing without political strings attached, respecting national sovereignty. Third, it operates through South-South frameworks like BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.

Yet for all its strengths, the GDI which is deeply aligned with Belt-and-Road-Initiative (BRI) is also not without flaws. The model's reliance on debt financing has pushed several partner nations to the brink of crisis. While Chinese-built highways and power plants are tangible assets, the loans funding them often carry near-commercial terms that strain national budgets. There's also the persistent issue of opacity, in projects like CPEC, over 80 per cent of contracts go to Chinese firms, limiting local job creation and skills transfer. Environmental safeguards are frequently overlooked in the rush to break ground, causing ecological damage that sparks public backlash.

The SDGs' vision remains vital, but their implementation model is broken. The GDI offers a compelling alternative, but requires refinement to be truly transformative. In this moment of flux, one truth becomes clear: the future of development will be written not in UN conference rooms, but in the partnership agreements

Perhaps most critically, the GDI's narrow focus on physical infrastructure, and less on social development, leaves gaps in human development. A country might have gleaming new highways but still lack quality schools and hospitals. This imbalance risks creating what some critics call ‘empty development’ -- impressive infrastructure without corresponding progress in living standards.

It is happening during the era of the gradual withdrawal of the US from global development aid, marked by budget cuts to USAID and a shift towards isolationist policies which has already created a leadership vacuum in international development. This retreat presents a golden opportunity for China to expand its influence through China Aid, its flagship development assistance program. As traditional Western donors scale back commitments, developing nations are increasingly turning to Beijing for the development needs, critical social infrastructure financing, technical cooperation, and debt-backed investments.

Unlike USAID’s focus on governance reforms and civil society support, China Aid need to prioritise tangible, large-scale development projects – building water reservoirs, resilient health and education infrastructure, establishing small and medium industry, setting up vocational skill institutes and scientific research centers for agriculture and IT, and renewable energy plants -- that align with recipient governments’ immediate economic priorities. This approach resonates with developing nations frustrated by Western aid’s political conditionalities.

With the US disengaging, China can take a lead to reshape global development governance, leveraging its economic clout to build long-term geopolitical alliances. If Beijing addresses transparency and debt concerns, China Aid could emerge as the dominant development model in the post-Western aid era. The question is no longer whether China will fill the void, but how swiftly and sustainably it can do so.

The path forward requires synthesis. In alignment to the emerging development scenario, the Chinese global development initiative must evolve to incorporate lessons from both its own shortcomings and the SDGs' failures. China could take three crucial steps: First, shift from pure loan financing to include more grants and concessional aid, particularly for social infrastructure. Second, enforce stricter transparency and local participation rules to ensure projects benefit host communities. Third, develop robust monitoring frameworks to track not just construction milestones but broader developmental impact.

For nations like Pakistan that have struggled with SDG implementation, the GDI offers a lifeline, but only if approached strategically. The key lies in using Chinese investments as catalysts for broader transformation. CPEC's industrial zones could become hubs for technology transfer and skills development. Energy projects should be paired with vocational training programmes. Most importantly, recipient nations must negotiate terms that prioritise long-term sustainability over short-term ribbon-cutting opportunities.

As the international order fractures along geopolitical lines, the developing world finds itself at a crossroads. The SDGs' vision remains vital, but their implementation model is broken. The GDI offers a compelling alternative, but requires refinement to be truly transformative. In this moment of flux, one truth becomes clear: the future of development will be written not in UN conference rooms, but in the partnership agreements, infrastructure projects and local communities where theory meets reality.

The boldest vision -- one that combines the SDGs' comprehensive framework with the GDI's action-oriented approach -- may yet carry the day.


The writer is a climate governance expert. He can be reached at: razashafqatyahoo.com